Pair #3588

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-PNYH

Will Pontus Nyholm lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Pontus Nyholm
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3150

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Pontus Nyholm is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-PNYH

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Pontus Nyholm finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Pontus Nyholm
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 619

YES ask: 0.1300
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Pontus Nyholm finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:13:30Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee a top 10 finish, and finishing top 10 does not require leading after Round 1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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