Pair #3586

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-TECHO26-APUT

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Andrew Putnam finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Andrew Putnam
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2618

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Andrew Putnam finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-APUT

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Andrew Putnam finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Andrew Putnam
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 775

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Andrew Putnam finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:13:30Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 5 necessarily means finishing top 10 as well. The reverse does not hold — top 10 could be positions 6-10, which are outside top 5.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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