Pair #3584

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-APUT

Will Andrew Putnam win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Andrew Putnam
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 7426

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Andrew Putnam wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-APUT

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Andrew Putnam finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Andrew Putnam
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 775

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Andrew Putnam finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:13:30Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament means finishing 1st, which is necessarily inside the top 10. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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