Pair #3580

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-SRYD

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Sam Ryder make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Sam Ryder
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 1525

YES ask: 0.6200
NO ask: 0.5900
Last: 0.4700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Sam Ryder has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-SRYD

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Sam Ryder finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Sam Ryder
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 6717

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.2800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Sam Ryder finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:13:30Z

Reasoning: Making the cut does not guarantee a top 20 finish (many players make the cut but finish outside top 20). Finishing top 20 does imply making the cut, but that reverse direction (B→A) is the one that holds — however, the question asks which is antecedent. Actually: top 20 finish DOES imply making the cut, so B implies A. But A does not imply B.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.6000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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