Pair #3577

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXMOWOMEN-26-HBAP

Will Hailey Baptiste win the WTA Miami Open?

Series: KXMOWOMEN
Entity: Hailey Baptiste
Expiration: 2026-03-28T19:30:00Z
Volume: 2246

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Hailey Baptiste wins the 2026 WTA Miami Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXWTAMATCH-26MAR24SABBAP-BAP

Will Hailey Baptiste win the Sabalenka vs Baptiste : Quarterfinal match?

Series: KXWTAMATCH
Entity: Hailey Baptiste
Expiration: 2026-03-24T17:00:00Z
Volume: 22518

YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 0.9100
Last: 0.1000

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Hailey Baptiste wins the Sabalenka vs Baptiste professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Miami Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:13:10Z

Reasoning: If Baptiste wins the WTA Miami Open, she must have won the quarterfinal match against Sabalenka — you cannot win the tournament without winning every match including this quarterfinal. However, winning the quarterfinal does not necessitate winning the tournament (she could lose in the semis or final).

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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