Pair #3574

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXDPWORLDTOUR-HEIO26-AAYO

Will Angel Ayora Fanegas win the Hero Indian Open?

Series: KXDPWORLDTOUR
Entity: Angel Ayora Fanegas
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 15840

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Angel Ayora Fanegas wins the Hero Indian Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXDPWORLDTOURR1LEAD-HEIO26-AAYO

Will Angel Ayora Fanegas lead at the end of Round 1 in the Hero Indian Open?

Series: KXDPWORLDTOURR1LEAD
Entity: Angel Ayora Fanegas
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 348

YES ask: 0.5100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Angel Ayora Fanegas is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Hero Indian Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:13:10Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament does not require leading after Round 1 — a player can win from any position after R1. And leading after R1 does not guarantee winning the tournament.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.5100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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