Pair #3555

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-CBLA

Will Chandler Blanchet lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Chandler Blanchet
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2495

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Chandler Blanchet is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-CBLA

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Chandler Blanchet finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Chandler Blanchet
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1007

YES ask: 0.0400
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Chandler Blanchet finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:12:55Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee a top-20 finish (could collapse over remaining rounds). Finishing top 20 does not require leading after Round 1. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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