Pair #3548

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-AEWA

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will A.J. Ewart make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: A.J. Ewart
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 1927

YES ask: 0.1100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.2100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If A.J. Ewart has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-AEWA

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will A.J. Ewart finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: A.J. Ewart
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 6232

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0600

View on Kalshi

Rules

If A.J. Ewart finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:12:38Z

Reasoning: Making the cut does not guarantee a top-10 finish. Finishing top 10 does imply making the cut, but that direction is B→A, not A→B. Actually top 10 implies making cut — so KXPGATOP10 implies KXPGAMAKECUT, not the other way.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue