Pair #3546

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-AEWA

Will A.J. Ewart lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: A.J. Ewart
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 21724

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If A.J. Ewart is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-AEWA

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will A.J. Ewart finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: A.J. Ewart
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 6232

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0600

View on Kalshi

Rules If A.J. Ewart finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:12:38Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee a top-10 finish. Finishing top 10 does not require having led after Round 1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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