Pair #3545

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-AEWA

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will A.J. Ewart make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: A.J. Ewart
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 1927

YES ask: 0.1100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.2100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If A.J. Ewart has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-AEWA

Will A.J. Ewart lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: A.J. Ewart
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 21724

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If A.J. Ewart is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:12:38Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut (a player could collapse in Round 2). Making the cut does not require having led after Round 1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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