Pair #3544

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-AEWA

Will A.J. Ewart win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: A.J. Ewart
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 5682

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If A.J. Ewart wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-AEWA

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will A.J. Ewart finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: A.J. Ewart
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 6232

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0600

View on Kalshi

Rules If A.J. Ewart finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:12:38Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament means finishing 1st, which is necessarily in the top 10. Top 10 does not imply winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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