Pair #3540

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-DMCC

Will Denny McCarthy win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Denny McCarthy
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 20528

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Denny McCarthy wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-DMCC

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Denny McCarthy finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Denny McCarthy
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2716

YES ask: 0.1700
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1700

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Denny McCarthy finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:12:18Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament means finishing 1st, which is necessarily a top 10 finish. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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