Pair #3536

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-TPEN

Will Taylor Pendrith lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Taylor Pendrith
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1179

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Taylor Pendrith is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-TPEN

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Taylor Pendrith finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Taylor Pendrith
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3526

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Taylor Pendrith finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:12:18Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee a top 20 final finish (could miss cut or fall back), and finishing top 20 does not require leading after Round 1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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