Pair #353

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHLCENTRAL-26-MIN

Will Minnesota Wild win the NHL Central Division?

Series: KXNHLCENTRAL
Entity: Minnesota Wild
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 28336

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If the Minnesota Wild win the 2025-2026 NHL Central Division, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLWEST-26-MIN

Western Conference Finals Winner?

Series: KXNHLWEST
Entity: Minnesota Wild
Expiration: 2026-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 458528

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Minnesota Wild wins the Western Conference Finals, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:07:31Z

Reasoning: Winning the Western Conference Finals does not require winning the Central Division — a team can reach the conference finals as a wild card. Winning the Central Division does not guarantee advancing to the Western Conference Finals. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue