Pair #3524

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-RHOE

Will Rico Hoey win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Rico Hoey
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 361992

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Rico Hoey wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-RHOE

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Rico Hoey finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Rico Hoey
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 55908

YES ask: 0.4900
NO ask: 0.5300
Last: 0.4900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Rico Hoey finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:12:02Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament means finishing 1st, which is necessarily within the top 20. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.4900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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