Pair #3521

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-TECHO26-JKNA

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Jake Knapp finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Jake Knapp
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 18717

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jake Knapp finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-JKNA

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Jake Knapp finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Jake Knapp
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 32337

YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 0.9400
Last: 0.0800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jake Knapp finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:12:02Z

Reasoning: Top 5 is a subset of top 10, so finishing top 5 necessarily means finishing top 10. The reverse does not hold — finishing top 10 does not guarantee top 5.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue