Pair #3520

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-JKNA

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Jake Knapp finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Jake Knapp
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 56501

YES ask: 0.3400
NO ask: 0.7100
Last: 0.3400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jake Knapp finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-JKNA

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Jake Knapp make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Jake Knapp
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 1715

YES ask: 0.8200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.8200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jake Knapp has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:12:02Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 20 requires having made the cut. The reverse is not true — making the cut does not guarantee a top 20 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.5300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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