Pair #352

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHLCENTRAL-26-MIN

Will Minnesota Wild win the NHL Central Division?

Series: KXNHLCENTRAL
Entity: Minnesota Wild
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 28336

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If the Minnesota Wild win the 2025-2026 NHL Central Division, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLPRES-26-MIN

Will the Minnesota Wild win the Pro Hockey President's Trophy?

Series: KXNHLPRES
Entity: Minnesota Wild
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 11018

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Minnesota Wild wins the Pro Hockey President's Trophy, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:07:31Z

Reasoning: Winning the President's Trophy (best record in the entire NHL) does not necessarily mean winning the Central Division — another Central Division team could have a better divisional record even if MIN has the best overall record (though unusual, it's conceivable). Winning the Central Division does not mean having the best overall record in the NHL. No strict logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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