Pair #3518

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-JKNA

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Jake Knapp finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Jake Knapp
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 32337

YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 0.9400
Last: 0.0800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jake Knapp finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-JKNA

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Jake Knapp make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Jake Knapp
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 1715

YES ask: 0.8200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.8200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jake Knapp has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:12:02Z

Reasoning: If Jake Knapp finishes top 10, he must have made the cut (you cannot finish top 10 without surviving the cut). The reverse is not true: making the cut does not guarantee a top 10 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.7600
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue