Pair #3516

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-JKNA

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Jake Knapp make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Jake Knapp
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 1715

YES ask: 0.8200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.8200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jake Knapp has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-JKNA

Will Jake Knapp lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Jake Knapp
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 43447

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jake Knapp is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:11:44Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut (could collapse in Round 2). Making the cut does not require leading after Round 1. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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