Pair #3514

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-JKNA

Will Jake Knapp win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Jake Knapp
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1071336

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jake Knapp wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-JKNA

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Jake Knapp make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Jake Knapp
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 1715

YES ask: 0.8200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.8200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jake Knapp has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:11:44Z

Reasoning: A player must make the cut to compete in the final rounds and win the tournament. If Knapp wins, he necessarily made the cut. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.8200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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