Pair #3513

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-GSAR

Will Gordon Sargent win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Gordon Sargent
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 4359

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Gordon Sargent wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-GSAR

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Gordon Sargent finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Gordon Sargent
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3081

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1000

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Gordon Sargent finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:11:44Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament means finishing 1st, which is necessarily within the top 20. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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