Pair #3512

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-NECH

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Nicolas Echavarria finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Nicolas Echavarria
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1274

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Nicolas Echavarria finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-NECH

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Nicolas Echavarria finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Nicolas Echavarria
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1855

YES ask: 0.0600
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Nicolas Echavarria finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:11:44Z

Reasoning: Finishing in the top 10 necessarily means finishing in the top 20 as well. The reverse does not hold — top 20 does not imply top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0600
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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