Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-HENG
Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Harris English make the cut?
Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Harris English
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 572
YES ask: 0.5400
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.5400
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Harris English has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-HENG
Will Harris English lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?
Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Harris English
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 735
YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0200
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Harris English is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:11:27Z
Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut (a player could collapse in Round 2), and making the cut does not require leading after Round 1. No logical implication in either direction.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.0100
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A