Pair #3499

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-JHIG

Will Joe Highsmith win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Joe Highsmith
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 5795

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Joe Highsmith wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-JHIG

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Joe Highsmith finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Joe Highsmith
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3144

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Joe Highsmith finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:11:27Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament means finishing 1st, which is necessarily within the top 10. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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