Pair #3494

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-SYEL

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Sudarshan Yellamaraju finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Sudarshan Yellamaraju
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 49953

YES ask: 0.8400
NO ask: 0.2100
Last: 0.8400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Sudarshan Yellamaraju finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-SYEL

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Sudarshan Yellamaraju make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Sudarshan Yellamaraju
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 625

YES ask: 0.7200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.6700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Sudarshan Yellamaraju has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:11:27Z

Reasoning: If Yellamaraju finishes top 20, he must have made the cut (you cannot finish top 20 without surviving the cut). The reverse does not hold: making the cut does not guarantee a top 20 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.9300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue