Pair #3491

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-SYEL

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Sudarshan Yellamaraju make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Sudarshan Yellamaraju
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 625

YES ask: 0.7200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.6700

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Sudarshan Yellamaraju has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-SYEL

Will Sudarshan Yellamaraju lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Sudarshan Yellamaraju
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 44463

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Sudarshan Yellamaraju is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:11:10Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut (a player could collapse in Round 2), and making the cut does not require leading after Round 1. Neither implies the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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