Pair #3489

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-PROD

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Patrick Rodgers finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Patrick Rodgers
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 5234

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Patrick Rodgers finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-PROD

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Patrick Rodgers finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Patrick Rodgers
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1418

YES ask: 0.0800
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Patrick Rodgers finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:11:10Z

Reasoning: If Rodgers finishes top 10, he necessarily finishes top 20 as well. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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