Pair #3486

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-PROD

Will Patrick Rodgers win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Patrick Rodgers
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 120631

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Patrick Rodgers wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-PROD

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Patrick Rodgers finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Patrick Rodgers
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1418

YES ask: 0.0800
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0700

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Patrick Rodgers finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:11:10Z

Reasoning: If Rodgers wins the tournament, he finishes 1st, which is necessarily top 20. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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