Pair #3483

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-MPAV

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Matthieu Pavon finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Matthieu Pavon
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2498

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.2300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Matthieu Pavon finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-MPAV

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Matthieu Pavon make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Matthieu Pavon
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 867

YES ask: 0.7700
NO ask: 0.4500
Last: 0.6200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Matthieu Pavon has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:11:10Z

Reasoning: If Pavon finishes top 20, he must have made the cut. However, making the cut does not necessitate a top 20 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.7700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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