Pair #3474

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-LHOD

Will Lee Hodges win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Lee Hodges
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 19240

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Lee Hodges wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-LHOD

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Lee Hodges finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Lee Hodges
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 327

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Lee Hodges finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:10:53Z

Reasoning: If Lee Hodges wins the tournament, he finishes 1st, which is necessarily within the top 20. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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