Pair #3470

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-LGLO

Will Lucas Glover win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Lucas Glover
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 4489

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Lucas Glover wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-LGLO

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Lucas Glover finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Lucas Glover
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1320

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Lucas Glover finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:10:53Z

Reasoning: If Lucas Glover wins the tournament, he finishes 1st, which is necessarily within the top 20. The reverse does not hold — finishing top 20 does not mean he won.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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