Pair #3468

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-TECHO26-DLIP

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will David Lipsky finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: David Lipsky
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1111

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If David Lipsky finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-DLIP

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will David Lipsky finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: David Lipsky
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3783

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules If David Lipsky finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:10:27Z

Reasoning: If Lipsky finishes top 5, he necessarily finishes top 20. The reverse does not hold — top 20 does not guarantee top 5.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue