Pair #3463

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-DWAL

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Danny Walker finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Danny Walker
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 531

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Danny Walker finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-DWAL

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Danny Walker finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Danny Walker
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1374

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Danny Walker finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:10:27Z

Reasoning: If Walker finishes top 10, he necessarily finishes top 20. The reverse does not hold — top 20 does not guarantee top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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