Pair #3460

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-DWAL

Will Danny Walker win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Danny Walker
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 28135

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Danny Walker wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-DWAL

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Danny Walker finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Danny Walker
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 531

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Danny Walker finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:10:27Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament means finishing 1st, which is necessarily a top 10 finish. The reverse does not hold — top 10 does not guarantee a win.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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