Pair #3458

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-EGRI

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Emiliano Grillo finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Emiliano Grillo
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 11628

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Emiliano Grillo finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-EGRI

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Emiliano Grillo finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Emiliano Grillo
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 8535

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Emiliano Grillo finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:10:27Z

Reasoning: If Grillo finishes top 10, he necessarily finishes top 20 as well. The reverse does not hold — top 20 does not guarantee top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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