Pair #3456

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-EGRI

Will Emiliano Grillo lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Emiliano Grillo
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 10853

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Emiliano Grillo is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-EGRI

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Emiliano Grillo finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Emiliano Grillo
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 11628

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Emiliano Grillo finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:10:10Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not imply a top 10 finish, and a top 10 finish does not require leading after Round 1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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