Pair #3455

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-EGRI

Will Emiliano Grillo win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Emiliano Grillo
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 18664

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Emiliano Grillo wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-EGRI

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Emiliano Grillo finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Emiliano Grillo
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 8535

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Emiliano Grillo finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:10:10Z

Reasoning: Winning means finishing 1st, which is necessarily top 20. Top 20 does not imply winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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