Pair #3451

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-CRAM

Will Chad Ramey win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Chad Ramey
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 43548

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Chad Ramey wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-CRAM

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Chad Ramey finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Chad Ramey
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1024

YES ask: 0.1400
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Chad Ramey finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:10:10Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament means finishing 1st, which is necessarily top 10. Top 10 does not imply winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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