Antecedent (if this happens)
KXNHL-26-MIN
Will Minnesota Wild win the 2025-26 Stanley Cup Finals?
Series: KXNHL
Entity: Minnesota Wild
Expiration: 2026-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 4042154
YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If the Minnesota Wild win the 2025-26 Stanley Cup Finals, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXNHLPRES-26-MIN
Will the Minnesota Wild win the Pro Hockey President's Trophy?
Series: KXNHLPRES
Entity: Minnesota Wild
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 11018
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Minnesota Wild wins the Pro Hockey President's Trophy, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:07:31Z
Reasoning: Winning the Stanley Cup does not require having the best regular season record (President's Trophy). Conversely, winning the President's Trophy does not guarantee winning the Stanley Cup. No logical necessity in either direction.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
0.00%
(negative yield)
Cost:
$1.0000
Days to maturity:
31
Hurdle yield:
4.22%
Excess yield:
-4.22%
BELOW HURDLE