Pair #3442

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-JSMI

Will Jordan L. Smith win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Jordan L. Smith
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 239017

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jordan L. Smith wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-JSMI

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Jordan L. Smith finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Jordan L. Smith
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2281

YES ask: 0.1500
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.3400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jordan L. Smith finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:09:53Z

Reasoning: If Jordan L. Smith wins the tournament, he finishes 1st, which is necessarily within the top 20. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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