Pair #3441

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-KYU

Will Kevin Yu win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Kevin Yu
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 4021

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Kevin Yu wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-KYU

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Kevin Yu finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Kevin Yu
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 682

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Kevin Yu finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:09:53Z

Reasoning: If Kevin Yu wins the tournament, he finishes 1st, which is necessarily within the top 10. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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