Pair #3439

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-PCOO

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Pierceson Coody finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Pierceson Coody
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3138

YES ask: 0.0900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.2900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Pierceson Coody finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-PCOO

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Pierceson Coody finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Pierceson Coody
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 8807

YES ask: 0.2100
NO ask: 0.8700
Last: 0.2200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Pierceson Coody finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:09:53Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 necessarily means finishing top 20 (top 10 is a subset of top 20). The reverse does not hold — finishing top 20 does not mean finishing top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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