Pair #3438

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-TECHO26-PCOO

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Pierceson Coody finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Pierceson Coody
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1501

YES ask: 0.0400
NO ask: 0.9700
Last: 0.0400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Pierceson Coody finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-PCOO

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Pierceson Coody finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Pierceson Coody
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3138

YES ask: 0.0900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.2900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Pierceson Coody finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:09:53Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 5 necessarily means finishing top 10 (top 5 is a subset of top 10). The reverse does not hold — finishing top 10 does not mean finishing top 5.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0600
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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