Pair #3437

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-PCOO

Will Pierceson Coody lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Pierceson Coody
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 67038

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Pierceson Coody is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-PCOO

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Pierceson Coody finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Pierceson Coody
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 8807

YES ask: 0.2100
NO ask: 0.8700
Last: 0.2200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Pierceson Coody finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:09:53Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee a top-20 final finish — a player can collapse over subsequent rounds. A top-20 finish does not require leading after R1. No logical implication in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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