Pair #3435

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-PCOO

Will Pierceson Coody lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Pierceson Coody
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 67038

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Pierceson Coody is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-PCOO

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Pierceson Coody finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Pierceson Coody
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3138

YES ask: 0.0900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.2900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Pierceson Coody finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:09:53Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not necessitate a top-10 finish — a player can lead R1 and then fall down the leaderboard. A top-10 finish does not require leading after R1. No logical implication in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue