Pair #3434

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-PCOO

Will Pierceson Coody win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Pierceson Coody
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 333778

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Pierceson Coody wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-PCOO

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Pierceson Coody finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Pierceson Coody
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 8807

YES ask: 0.2100
NO ask: 0.8700
Last: 0.2200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Pierceson Coody finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:09:53Z

Reasoning: If Coody wins the tournament, he finishes 1st, which is necessarily within the top 20. The reverse does not hold — finishing top 20 does not mean he won.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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