Pair #3430

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-TECHO26-KMIT

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Keith Mitchell finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Keith Mitchell
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 4864

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Keith Mitchell finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-KMIT

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Keith Mitchell finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Keith Mitchell
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 17316

YES ask: 0.2800
NO ask: 0.7500
Last: 0.2800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Keith Mitchell finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:09:35Z

Reasoning: A top 5 finish necessarily implies a top 20 finish (5 is within 20). The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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