Antecedent (if this happens)
KXNHLMETROPOLITAN-26-CAR
Will Carolina Hurricanes win the NHL Metropolitan Division?
Series: KXNHLMETROPOLITAN
Entity: Carolina Hurricanes
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 22617
YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900
View on Kalshi
Rules
If the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2025-2026 NHL Metropolitan Division, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXNHLPRES-26-CAR
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Pro Hockey President's Trophy?
Series: KXNHLPRES
Entity: Carolina Hurricanes
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 10706
YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Carolina Hurricanes wins the Pro Hockey President's Trophy, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:07:31Z
Reasoning: Winning the President's Trophy (best record in the NHL) does not require winning a division — a team could have the best record while finishing second in their division (though in practice this is unlikely, wild card scenarios mean division title is not guaranteed). Conversely, winning the Metropolitan Division does not guarantee the best overall record in the NHL. Neither direction holds as a logical necessity.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$0.0300
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A