Pair #3429

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-KMIT

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Keith Mitchell finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Keith Mitchell
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 6482

YES ask: 0.0600
NO ask: 0.9600
Last: 0.0700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Keith Mitchell finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-KMIT

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Keith Mitchell finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Keith Mitchell
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 17316

YES ask: 0.2800
NO ask: 0.7500
Last: 0.2800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Keith Mitchell finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:09:35Z

Reasoning: A top 10 finish necessarily implies a top 20 finish (10 is within 20). The reverse does not hold — a top 20 finish could be positions 11-20.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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